Yesterday · Sunday 8 November
Match Winner predictions
Home win, draw or away win – the result we rate most likely for every match with bookmaker prices, and how likely we think it is.
Last 30 days: 84% of our top 1X2 picks won (250 of 299). Full record
761matches
389won
370lost
51%hit rate
2to play
Top picks 10
Yesterday's ten strongest 1X2 picks and how they finished.
FT
Davao Aguilas
Philippine Army
100
H 80%D 14%A 6%
11.02X19.00246.00
xG4.8GG61%
1 ✓Davao Aguilas to win80% · @1.02
FT
Johor Darul Takzim FC
DPMM FC Brunei
61
H 78%D 17%A 4%
11.01X11.25223.00
xG4.6GG59%
1 ✓Johor Darul Takzim FC to win78% · @1.01
FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Shenyang Urban
61
H 78%D 17%A 6%
11.12X9.00215.00
xG3.5GG61%
1 ✓SHANGHAI SIPG to win78% · @1.12
FT
Barcelona W
Madrid CFF W
51
H 78%D 10%A 13%
11.01X29.00241.00
xG4.5GG53%
1 ✓Barcelona W to win78% · @1.01
FT
Goias
Ponte Preta
10
H 77%D 17%A 6%
11.12X8.50219.00
xG3.0GG52%
1 ✓Goias to win77% · @1.12
FT
Newcastle United W
Burnley W
30
H 76%D 16%A 8%
11.11X7.10212.50
xG3.2GG57%
1 ✓Newcastle United W to win76% · @1.11
FT
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pereira
43
H 76%D 15%A 9%
11.17X6.45213.00
xG2.9GG50%
1 ✓Atletico Nacional to win76% · @1.17
FT
Mondercange
F91 Dudelange
32
H 9%D 16%A 76%
111.25X5.6521.17
xG4.0GG61%
2 ✗F91 Dudelange to win76% · @1.17
FT
Santa Fe
Deportivo Pasto
50
H 75%D 18%A 6%
11.07X8.75224.00
xG2.8GG50%
1 ✓Santa Fe to win75% · @1.07
FT
Qingdao Jonoon
Sichuan Jiuniu
22
H 11%D 14%A 75%
111.00X7.0021.20
xG3.4GG60%
2 ✗Sichuan Jiuniu to win75% · @1.20
All results 100
FT
Davao AguilasPhilippine Army
100
H 80%D 14%A 6%
11.02X19.00246.00
xG4.8GG61%
1 ✓Davao Aguilas to win80% · @1.02
FT
Johor Darul Takzim FCDPMM FC Brunei
61
H 78%D 17%A 4%
11.01X11.25223.00
xG4.6GG59%
1 ✓Johor Darul Takzim FC to win78% · @1.01
FT
SHANGHAI SIPGShenyang Urban
61
H 78%D 17%A 6%
11.12X9.00215.00
xG3.5GG61%
1 ✓SHANGHAI SIPG to win78% · @1.12
FT
Barcelona WMadrid CFF W
51
H 78%D 10%A 13%
11.01X29.00241.00
xG4.5GG53%
1 ✓Barcelona W to win78% · @1.01
FT
GoiasPonte Preta
10
H 77%D 17%A 6%
11.12X8.50219.00
xG3.0GG52%
1 ✓Goias to win77% · @1.12
FT
Newcastle United WBurnley W
30
H 76%D 16%A 8%
11.11X7.10212.50
xG3.2GG57%
1 ✓Newcastle United W to win76% · @1.11
FT
Atletico NacionalDeportivo Pereira
43
H 76%D 15%A 9%
11.17X6.45213.00
xG2.9GG50%
1 ✓Atletico Nacional to win76% · @1.17
FT
MondercangeF91 Dudelange
32
H 9%D 16%A 76%
111.25X5.6521.17
xG4.0GG61%
2 ✗F91 Dudelange to win76% · @1.17
FT
Santa FeDeportivo Pasto
50
H 75%D 18%A 6%
11.07X8.75224.00
xG2.8GG50%
1 ✓Santa Fe to win75% · @1.07
FT
Qingdao JonoonSichuan Jiuniu
22
H 11%D 14%A 75%
111.00X7.0021.20
xG3.4GG60%
2 ✗Sichuan Jiuniu to win75% · @1.20
FT
Maharlika
Manila Digger
03
H 6%D 19%A 74%
114.20X7.1021.10
xG3.2GG54%
2 ✓Manila Digger to win74% · @1.10
FT
Cailungo
Tre Fiori
22
H 7%D 19%A 74%
113.10X5.6021.17
xG2.9GG50%
2 ✗Tre Fiori to win74% · @1.17
FT
Viking
KFUM Oslo
51
H 74%D 16%A 10%
11.28X6.2528.00
xG3.5GG58%
1 ✓Viking to win74% · @1.28
FT
Iraklis 1908
Panathinaikos
12
H 7%D 18%A 74%
110.00X5.2521.28
xG2.7GG50%
2 ✓Panathinaikos to win74% · @1.28
FT
Sabah FA
Şamaxı FK
22
H 74%D 17%A 9%
11.22X5.0029.50
xG3.0GG53%
1 ✗Sabah FA to win74% · @1.22
FT
Sokol Lanžhot
Nové Sady
42
H 74%D 18%A 8%
11.22X5.5529.10
xG3.8GG64%
1 ✓Sokol Lanžhot to win74% · @1.22
FT
Cray Wanderers
Stockport County
23
H 8%D 18%A 74%
110.00X6.2521.22
xG3.0GG47%
2 ✓Stockport County to win74% · @1.22
FT
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
Cañoneros Marina
80
H 74%D 15%A 11%
11.09X7.30215.00
xG4.0GG64%
1 ✓La Tribu de Cd. Juarez to win74% · @1.09
FT
Toledo
Marchamalo
20
H 74%D 19%A 7%
11.22X4.90210.25
xG3.2GG53%
1 ✓Toledo to win74% · @1.22
FT
Beşiktaş
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
30
H 74%D 19%A 8%
11.18X7.10212.00
xG3.4GG56%
1 ✓Beşiktaş to win74% · @1.18
FT
Enna
Reggina
03
H 12%D 15%A 73%
114.50X6.6021.12
xG3.0GG55%
2 ✓Reggina to win73% · @1.12
FT
Beroe
Pirin Blagoevgrad
33
H 73%D 20%A 7%
11.14X5.65215.00
xG3.0GG52%
1 ✗Beroe to win73% · @1.14
FT
Tre Penne
Murata
30
H 73%D 15%A 12%
11.04X8.20225.00
xG3.1GG52%
1 ✓Tre Penne to win73% · @1.04
FT
Estrela
Benfica
23
H 8%D 19%A 73%
111.00X6.5021.22
xG3.5GG60%
2 ✓Benfica to win73% · @1.22
FT
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
33
H 73%D 15%A 12%
11.15X8.00212.00
xG3.3GG57%
1 ✗HJK Helsinki to win73% · @1.15
FT
Kawempe Muslim W
USFAS Bamako W
30
H 73%D 14%A 13%
11.04X9.70216.25
xG5.5GG61%
1 ✓Kawempe Muslim W to win73% · @1.04
FT
Stockholm Internazionale
Piteå
30
H 73%D 18%A 9%
11.17X6.3029.80
xG3.5GG57%
1 ✓Stockholm Internazionale to win73% · @1.17
FT
Porto U19
Vizela U19
30
H 73%D 16%A 11%
11.07X7.50218.25
xG3.6GG56%
1 ✓Porto U19 to win73% · @1.07
FT
Al Sahel
Al Kuwait
03
H 9%D 18%A 73%
111.00X6.4021.20
xG3.6GG50%
2 ✓Al Kuwait to win73% · @1.20
FT
Celtic
Kilmarnock
10
H 71%D 19%A 10%
11.18X7.50211.00
xG3.6GG59%
1 ✓Celtic to win71% · @1.18
FT
Rosario Central
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
20
H 69%D 19%A 12%
11.22X5.25215.00
xG2.5GG49%
1 ✓Rosario Central to win69% · @1.22
FT
Rio Ave
SC Braga
01
H 9%D 22%A 69%
16.50X4.0021.50
xG2.8GG47%
2 ✓SC Braga to win69% · @1.50
FT
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y Justicia
10
H 69%D 23%A 8%
11.38X4.3329.50
xG2.6GG50%
1 ✓Boca Juniors to win69% · @1.38
FT
Vitória SC
FC Porto
12
H 11%D 21%A 68%
15.75X4.2021.53
xG2.6GG54%
2 ✓FC Porto to win68% · @1.53
FT
Aldosivi
River Plate
02
H 9%D 23%A 68%
17.50X3.7521.44
xG2.4GG51%
2 ✓River Plate to win68% · @1.44
FT
Villarreal
Getafe
20
H 67%D 22%A 11%
11.53X4.1026.25
xG2.6GG52%
1 ✓Villarreal to win67% · @1.53
FT
Alanyaspor
Trabzonspor
02
H 12%D 21%A 67%
15.25X4.0521.57
xG2.9GG56%
2 ✓Trabzonspor to win67% · @1.57
FT
Gent
Kortrijk
10
H 66%D 23%A 11%
11.52X4.1025.75
xG2.7GG54%
1 ✓Gent to win66% · @1.52
FT
Austin
Portland Timbers
02
H 12%D 22%A 66%
14.50X4.2021.67
xG3.6GG67%
2 ✓Portland Timbers to win66% · @1.67
FT
Union St. Gilloise
Genk
10
H 65%D 22%A 13%
11.57X3.9025.00
xG3.3GG60%
1 ✓Union St. Gilloise to win65% · @1.57
FT
Abia Warriors
Doma United
22
H 65%D 22%A 13%
11.52X3.4026.20
xG2.5GG51%
1 ✗Abia Warriors to win65% · @1.52
FT
Heerenveen
Feyenoord
53
H 16%D 20%A 65%
14.50X4.2021.70
xG3.5GG64%
2 ✗Feyenoord to win65% · @1.70
FT
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
13
H 14%D 22%A 64%
15.25X4.3321.57
xG3.0GG59%
2 ✓Liverpool to win64% · @1.57
FT
1899 Hoffenheim
FC Schalke 04
21
H 64%D 22%A 14%
11.57X4.3325.25
xG2.9GG56%
1 ✓1899 Hoffenheim to win64% · @1.57
FT
Club Brugge KV
Anderlecht
11
H 64%D 22%A 14%
11.55X4.1024.75
xG3.2GG62%
1 ✗Club Brugge KV to win64% · @1.55
FT
Instituto Cordoba
Newells Old Boys
22
H 64%D 24%A 12%
11.85X3.2024.75
xG2.2GG50%
1 ✗Instituto Cordoba to win64% · @1.85
FT
Cambuur
PSV Eindhoven
25
H 17%D 19%A 64%
15.50X5.2521.45
xG4.1GG70%
2 ✓PSV Eindhoven to win64% · @1.45
FT
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
21
H 64%D 21%A 16%
11.70X4.1024.50
xG3.3GG65%
1 ✓Real Salt Lake to win64% · @1.70
FT
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
20
H 64%D 19%A 18%
11.44X4.5027.00
xG3.2GG58%
1 ✓SC Freiburg to win64% · @1.44
FT
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen
43
H 64%D 21%A 15%
11.48X4.7526.00
xG3.6GG62%
1 ✓AZ Alkmaar to win64% · @1.48
FT
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
10
H 63%D 24%A 13%
11.75X4.0024.20
xG3.3GG61%
1 ✓Real Sociedad to win63% · @1.75
FT
Warri Wolves
Katsina United
11
H 63%D 25%A 12%
11.55X3.3425.65
xG2.3GG51%
1 ✗Warri Wolves to win63% · @1.55
FT
Le Mans
Monaco
11
H 16%D 21%A 63%
15.25X3.8021.67
xG2.8GG55%
2 ✗Monaco to win63% · @1.67
FT
San Diego
Sporting Kansas City
01
H 63%D 23%A 14%
11.55X4.5025.00
xG3.7GG65%
1 ✗San Diego to win63% · @1.55
FT
Monza
Atalanta
01
H 23%D 15%A 63%
13.60X3.8021.95
xG3.6GG64%
2 ✓Atalanta to win63% · @1.95
FT
Ipswich
Bournemouth
12
H 14%D 24%A 62%
13.75X3.7021.91
xG3.1GG58%
2 ✓Bournemouth to win62% · @1.91
FT
Nasarawa United
Plateau United
31
H 62%D 22%A 16%
11.43X3.7526.40
xG2.5GG53%
1 ✓Nasarawa United to win62% · @1.43
FT
Wimborne Town
Crawley Town
20
H 19%D 19%A 62%
15.25X4.3321.55
xG2.5GG55%
2 ✗Crawley Town to win62% · @1.55
FT
Argentinos JRS
Huracan
02
H 61%D 22%A 17%
11.93X3.2024.55
xG2.1GG47%
1 ✗Argentinos JRS to win61% · @1.93
FT
Rizespor
Erzurumspor FK
21
H 61%D 20%A 19%
11.80X3.5024.10
xG2.6GG58%
1 ✓Rizespor to win61% · @1.80
FT
Genoa
AC Milan
12
H 15%D 24%A 61%
13.90X3.4021.95
xG2.6GG55%
2 ✓AC Milan to win61% · @1.95
FT
Çorum FK
Fenerbahçe
05
H 21%D 19%A 61%
14.33X3.9021.65
xG3.3GG65%
2 ✓Fenerbahçe to win61% · @1.65
FT
Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
31
H 61%D 22%A 17%
11.62X4.5024.75
xG3.4GG62%
1 ✓Minnesota United FC to win61% · @1.62
FT
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
12
H 17%D 23%A 61%
14.50X4.0021.73
xG3.3GG63%
2 ✓Bayer Leverkusen to win61% · @1.73
FT
Tigre
Sarmiento Junin
10
H 60%D 27%A 13%
11.75X3.2024.75
xG2.3GG49%
1 ✓Tigre to win60% · @1.75
FT
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Lanus
11
H 15%D 25%A 60%
15.25X3.5021.73
xG2.3GG53%
2 ✗Lanus to win60% · @1.73
FT
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
21
H 59%D 24%A 17%
11.75X3.4025.40
xG2.0GG45%
1 ✓Independiente to win59% · @1.75
FT
Elche
Real Betis
02
H 21%D 21%A 58%
13.70X3.8021.91
xG3.1GG61%
2 ✓Real Betis to win58% · @1.91
FT
Celta Vigo
Levante
00
H 58%D 24%A 18%
11.80X3.6024.50
xG2.6GG57%
1 ✗Celta Vigo to win58% · @1.80
FT
Brighton
Brentford
20
H 58%D 23%A 19%
11.85X4.0023.80
xG3.1GG64%
1 ✓Brighton to win58% · @1.85
FT
Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk
25
H 58%D 23%A 19%
11.75X4.1024.00
xG2.9GG58%
1 ✗Heart Of Midlothian to win58% · @1.75
FT
St. Truiden
Zulte Waregem
41
H 58%D 24%A 18%
11.75X3.7523.90
xG3.3GG62%
1 ✓St. Truiden to win58% · @1.75
FT
Twente
Ajax
22
H 57%D 18%A 24%
11.83X4.2023.75
xG3.6GG66%
1 ✗Twente to win57% · @1.83
FT
GOR Mahia
Nairobi United
11
H 57%D 22%A 21%
11.79X3.0524.25
xG2.4GG54%
1 ✗GOR Mahia to win57% · @1.79
FT
Sunderland
Chelsea
10
H 22%D 21%A 57%
13.75X3.7521.91
xG3.0GG60%
2 ✗Chelsea to win57% · @1.91
FT
FC Dallas
Colorado Rapids
31
H 57%D 23%A 20%
11.91X3.7023.80
xG3.0GG59%
1 ✓FC Dallas to win57% · @1.91
FT
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles FC
21
H 56%D 22%A 21%
11.95X3.7023.60
xG2.9GG63%
1 ✓Seattle Sounders to win56% · @1.95
FT
Angers
Nice
02
H 28%D 21%A 51%
13.50X3.6022.05
xG2.9GG59%
2 ✓Nice to win51% · @2.05
FT
Inter
Como
20
H 49%D 19%A 32%
12.00X4.1023.20
xG3.2GG65%
1 ✓Inter to win49% · @2.00
FT
Oldham
Sheffield Wednesday
21
H 29%D 23%A 49%
13.25X3.3022.15
xG3.0GG61%
2 ✗Sheffield Wednesday to win49% · @2.15
FT
Murang'a SEAL
Ulinzi Stars
22
H 47%D 24%A 29%
12.06X2.8823.46
xG2.5GG55%
1 ✗Murang'a SEAL to win47% · @2.06
FT
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
12
H 35%D 18%A 47%
13.10X4.2022.00
xG3.8GG73%
2 ✓Barcelona to win47% · @2.00
FT
Santa Clara
GIL Vicente
12
H 45%D 24%A 30%
12.40X3.1023.20
xG2.0GG51%
1 ✗Santa Clara to win45% · @2.40
FT
Ranchers Bees
Enyimba
10
H 45%D 23%A 32%
12.02X2.9923.58
xG2.5GG51%
1 ✓Ranchers Bees to win45% · @2.02
FT
Manchester United
Aston Villa
44
H 44%D 20%A 36%
12.10X3.9023.10
xG2.9GG64%
1 ✗Manchester United to win44% · @2.10
FT
Fiorentina
Juventus
22
H 34%D 23%A 43%
13.30X3.3022.20
xG2.9GG63%
2 ✗Juventus to win43% · @2.20
FT
Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
23
H 43%D 20%A 37%
12.45X3.8022.60
xG3.7GG68%
1 ✗Utrecht to win43% · @2.45
FT
Le Havre
Lorient
02
H 35%D 23%A 43%
13.00X3.3022.40
xG2.5GG59%
2 ✓Lorient to win43% · @2.40
FT
Stade Brestois 29
Lyon
20
H 36%D 22%A 42%
12.75X3.5022.50
xG2.8GG60%
2 ✗Lyon to win42% · @2.50
FT
Talleres Cordoba
Estudiantes L.P.
11
H 42%D 24%A 34%
12.35X3.1023.20
xG2.2GG54%
1 ✗Talleres Cordoba to win42% · @2.35
FT
Bandari
Tusker
10
H 33%D 26%A 42%
12.89X2.7222.45
xG1.8GG47%
2 ✗Tusker to win42% · @2.45
FT
Banfield
Atletico Tucuman
22
H 41%D 24%A 35%
12.50X3.1523.00
xG2.3GG53%
1 ✗Banfield to win41% · @2.50
FT
Napoli
Lazio
11
H 38%D 21%A 41%
12.25X3.7022.90
xG3.1GG65%
2 ✗Lazio to win41% · @2.90
FT
Lens
Marseille
12
H 41%D 21%A 38%
12.25X3.6023.00
xG3.2GG64%
1 ✗Lens to win41% · @2.25
FT
Houston Dynamo
St. Louis City
01
H 41%D 23%A 36%
12.62X3.3022.62
xG3.0GG63%
1 ✗Houston Dynamo to win41% · @2.62
FT
Barracas Central
Racing Club
20
H 40%D 25%A 35%
12.45X2.8823.00
xG2.1GG49%
1 ✓Barracas Central to win40% · @2.45
FT
Rennes
Lille
12
H 39%D 22%A 38%
12.40X3.4022.88
xG3.0GG60%
1 ✗Rennes to win39% · @2.40
FT
San Lorenzo
Platense
02
H 39%D 26%A 35%
12.67X2.8523.05
xG2.0GG50%
1 ✗San Lorenzo to win39% · @2.67
FT
Gimnasia M.
Independ. Rivadavia
11
H 38%D 24%A 38%
12.77X3.1522.70
xG2.4GG52%
1 ✗Gimnasia M. to win38% · @2.77
FT
Union Santa Fe
Velez Sarsfield
20
H 38%D 25%A 38%
12.55X3.0023.00
xG2.5GG55%
2 ✗Velez Sarsfield to win38% · @3.00
How we pick a winner
We start from a statistical model of both teams – recent form, home and away records, goals scored and conceded – and blend it with what the betting market says, because the market is quick to react to team news. The result with the highest combined chance becomes the tip.
The percentage matters more than the tip itself: a 75% favourite and a 45% favourite are very different bets.
Every tip on this page is checked against the final score. You can see how the top picks have done over the last 30 days on our record page – the losing days included.
Using match winner tips well
- Under 3.5 is a steady leg for slips; over 3.5 is a higher-risk, higher-price bet.
- Big favourites at home can push a game over 3.5 on their own – check the expected goals.
How to read this page
Each row shows the kick-off time in your own time zone, the two teams, the chance of a home win, draw and away win, the bookmaker prices and the expected goals. On the right is our match winner tip with the chance we give it – the longer and greener the bar, the stronger the pick. Tap any match to open every other market for that game.
Use the tabs to see tomorrow's match winner tips as soon as the matches are priced, or yesterday's results to see how the picks did. Predictions are statistical estimates for adults (18+), never a promise of a result – please read our responsible gambling guide.
Questions & answers
What does 1X2 mean?
1 is a home win, X a draw and 2 an away win – after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties don't count.
Why is the draw rarely the tip?
A draw is seldom the single most likely result. We only tip X when the two sides are very close.
What does the percentage mean?
How often we expect the tip to win in the long run. 70% means about seven times in ten.
