Match Winner predictions
Home win, draw or away win – the result we rate most likely for every match with bookmaker prices, and how likely we think it is.
Last 30 days: 84% of our top 1X2 picks won (250 of 299). Full record
Top picks 10
Our ten strongest 1X2 picks still to play, highest chance first.
Tavernes
Valencia
H 5%D 13%A 81%
141.00X34.0021.01
xG3.5GG50%
2Valencia to win81% · @1.01
Pamplona
Eibar
H 7%D 17%A 77%
115.00X6.0021.18
2Eibar to win77% · @1.18
Anaitasuna
Alaves
H 11%D 13%A 76%
136.00X17.0021.04
xG5.2GG60%
2Alaves to win76% · @1.04
Roma W
Servette Chênois W
H 74%D 18%A 8%
11.20X6.50213.00
xG4.1GG64%
1Roma W to win74% · @1.20
Trival Valderas
Leganes
H 7%D 19%A 74%
113.00X7.0021.17
xG3.2GG50%
2Leganes to win74% · @1.17
Leicester
Walsall
H 72%D 19%A 10%
11.33X5.0026.25
xG4.5GG67%
1Leicester to win72% · @1.33
Grimsby
Nottingham Forest U21
H 71%D 17%A 11%
11.36X4.7526.25
xG3.4GG65%
1Grimsby to win71% · @1.36
Häcken W
Chelsea W
H 15%D 14%A 71%
113.00X7.0021.18
xG2.8GG54%
2Chelsea W to win71% · @1.18
Redcar Athletic
Bamber Bridge
H 70%D 19%A 11%
11.30X4.8526.80
xG3.3GG59%
1Redcar Athletic to win70% · @1.30
Qatar U23
Singapore U23
H 70%D 16%A 15%
11.15X5.85212.50
xG2.8GG51%
1Qatar U23 to win70% · @1.15
All matches 76
Every game still to play, by league. Tap a match for the full breakdown.
Spain Copa Del Rey6 matches
Anaitasuna
Alaves
H 11%D 13%A 76%
136.00X17.0021.04
xG5.2GG60%
2Alaves to win76% · @1.04
Pamplona
Eibar
H 7%D 17%A 77%
115.00X6.0021.18
2Eibar to win77% · @1.18
Amorebieta
UD Logroñés
H 19%D 22%A 59%
14.00X3.5021.80
2UD Logroñés to win59% · @1.80
Mijas Las Lagunas
Real Jaén
H 42%D 23%A 35%
13.40X3.2022.05
xG2.7GG58%
1Mijas Las Lagunas to win42% · @3.40
Trival Valderas
Leganes
H 7%D 19%A 74%
113.00X7.0021.17
xG3.2GG50%
2Leganes to win74% · @1.17
Tavernes
Valencia
H 5%D 13%A 81%
141.00X34.0021.01
xG3.5GG50%
2Valencia to win81% · @1.01
Colombia Primera A1 match
Junior
Cucuta
H 66%D 21%A 13%
11.75X4.0524.75
xG2.8GG54%
1Junior to win66% · @1.75
Bolivia Primera División1 match
Aurora
Universitario de Vinto
H 57%D 22%A 21%
11.73X3.6024.10
xG3.1GG61%
1Aurora to win57% · @1.73
Costa-Rica Liga De Ascenso1 match
Aserri FC
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
H 48%D 21%A 31%
12.00X3.4223.16
xG2.9GG63%
1Aserri FC to win48% · @2.00
Jamaica Premier League1 match
Arnett Gardens
Waterhouse
H 35%D 22%A 43%
13.21X3.2522.04
xG3.0GG65%
2Waterhouse to win43% · @2.04
Mongolia Premier League2 matches
Central Stallions
Hunters
H 69%D 18%A 13%
11.18X7.0028.50
xG5.1GG72%
1Central Stallions to win69% · @1.18
Deren
Ulaanbaatar
H 24%D 13%A 63%
13.70X4.7521.57
xG4.2GG62%
2Ulaanbaatar to win63% · @1.57
World Friendlies2 matches
Qatar U23
Singapore U23
H 70%D 16%A 15%
11.15X5.85212.50
xG2.8GG51%
1Qatar U23 to win70% · @1.15
Vietnam U23
Thailand U23
H 47%D 21%A 32%
11.80X3.4023.85
xG2.8GG56%
1Vietnam U23 to win47% · @1.80
England Professional Development League2 matches
Hull City U21
Fleetwood Town U21
H 60%D 18%A 22%
11.78X3.9423.26
xG3.4GG66%
1Hull City U21 to win60% · @1.78
Colchester United U21
Charlton Athletic U21
H 40%D 18%A 42%
12.42X4.2022.13
xG4.2GG74%
2Charlton Athletic U21 to win42% · @2.13
Algeria Ligue 21 match
Paradou AC
JSM Skikda
H 64%D 22%A 15%
11.80X3.1024.20
xG2.4GG41%
1Paradou AC to win64% · @1.80
Egypt Cup1 match
El Mokawloon
Itesalat
H 64%D 20%A 17%
11.43X3.7627.02
xG2.3GG48%
1El Mokawloon to win64% · @1.43
Romania Liga II1 match
Metalul Buzău
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
H 43%D 23%A 34%
12.12X3.2523.30
xG2.5GG59%
1Metalul Buzău to win43% · @2.12
Europe UEFA Champions League Women5 matches
Häcken W
Chelsea W
H 15%D 14%A 71%
113.00X7.0021.18
xG2.8GG54%
2Chelsea W to win71% · @1.18
Real Madrid W
Paris FC W
H 68%D 17%A 15%
11.40X5.0026.50
xG3.3GG60%
1Real Madrid W to win68% · @1.40
Roma W
Servette Chênois W
H 74%D 18%A 8%
11.20X6.50213.00
xG4.1GG64%
1Roma W to win74% · @1.20
Inter Milano W
Manchester City W
H 12%D 18%A 69%
17.50X5.0021.36
xG3.1GG57%
2Manchester City W to win69% · @1.36
Paris Saint Germain W
Bayern Munich W
H 16%D 21%A 63%
14.20X3.7521.80
xG3.3GG64%
2Bayern Munich W to win63% · @1.80
England EFL Trophy19 matches
Leicester
Walsall
H 72%D 19%A 10%
11.33X5.0026.25
xG4.5GG67%
1Leicester to win72% · @1.33
Grimsby
Nottingham Forest U21
H 71%D 17%A 11%
11.36X4.7526.25
xG3.4GG65%
1Grimsby to win71% · @1.36
Oxford United
Cheltenham
H 68%D 21%A 11%
11.28X5.2527.50
xG3.8GG61%
1Oxford United to win68% · @1.28
Stockport County
Tranmere
H 68%D 21%A 12%
11.33X4.7526.25
xG3.6GG54%
1Stockport County to win68% · @1.33
Huddersfield
Liverpool U21
H 66%D 16%A 18%
11.28X5.0027.50
xG4.0GG67%
1Huddersfield to win66% · @1.28
Plymouth
Swindon Town
H 65%D 18%A 17%
11.42X4.7525.25
xG3.6GG65%
1Plymouth to win65% · @1.42
Stevenage
Fulham U21
H 64%D 21%A 15%
11.38X4.5026.25
xG4.4GG65%
1Stevenage to win64% · @1.38
Sheffield Wednesday
Accrington ST
H 63%D 21%A 16%
11.67X3.6024.33
xG3.3GG63%
1Sheffield Wednesday to win63% · @1.67
Bristol Rovers
Reading
H 23%D 16%A 61%
13.40X3.6021.85
xG3.4GG62%
2Reading to win61% · @1.85
Barnsley
Oldham
H 56%D 20%A 24%
11.95X4.0022.88
xG4.0GG66%
1Barnsley to win56% · @1.95
Crewe
Wigan
H 56%D 21%A 24%
11.91X3.3023.50
xG3.8GG63%
1Crewe to win56% · @1.91
Northampton
Gillingham
H 47%D 19%A 34%
12.00X3.8022.88
xG3.7GG64%
1Northampton to win47% · @2.00
Barnet
Leyton Orient
H 46%D 20%A 35%
12.25X3.7522.50
xG3.1GG66%
1Barnet to win46% · @2.25
Burton Albion
Notts County
H 38%D 19%A 43%
12.00X3.8022.90
xG3.0GG64%
2Notts County to win43% · @2.90
Mansfield Town
Chesterfield
H 42%D 20%A 38%
12.05X3.7522.75
xG3.8GG67%
1Mansfield Town to win42% · @2.05
Crawley Town
Brentford U21
H 69%D 18%A 13%
11.44X4.5025.00
xG4.1GG69%
1Crawley Town to win69% · @1.44
Bradford
York
H 65%D 14%A 20%
11.73X4.1023.70
xG3.4GG63%
1Bradford to win65% · @1.73
Bromley
Milton Keynes Dons
H 24%D 13%A 64%
13.20X4.1021.80
xG3.9GG67%
2Milton Keynes Dons to win64% · @1.80
Colchester
Ipswich Town U21
H 63%D 18%A 19%
11.44X5.0024.50
xG4.1GG69%
1Colchester to win63% · @1.44
England Premier League Cup1 match
Millwall U21
Brighton U21
H 26%D 17%A 56%
13.04X3.7421.90
xG2.5GG57%
2Brighton U21 to win56% · @1.90
England Non League Premier Southern South7 matches
Wimborne Town
Poole Town
H 42%D 21%A 37%
12.28X3.4022.57
xG2.7GG59%
1Wimborne Town to win42% · @2.28
Gloucester City
Malvern Town
H 67%D 21%A 12%
11.39X4.4025.70
xG3.5GG61%
1Gloucester City to win67% · @1.39
Bath City
Taunton Town
H 64%D 19%A 17%
11.69X3.7623.78
xG3.2GG60%
1Bath City to win64% · @1.69
Uxbridge
Hanwell Town
H 64%D 21%A 15%
11.71X3.7223.72
xG2.9GG57%
1Uxbridge to win64% · @1.71
Chertsey Town
Chichester City
H 64%D 14%A 22%
11.74X3.8223.50
xG3.5GG66%
1Chertsey Town to win64% · @1.74
Sholing
Chippenham Town
H 61%D 18%A 21%
11.80X3.6223.44
xG3.0GG59%
1Sholing to win61% · @1.80
Evesham United
Yate Town
H 41%D 21%A 38%
12.19X3.3822.71
xG3.1GG61%
1Evesham United to win41% · @2.19
England Non League Premier Northern6 matches
Redcar Athletic
Bamber Bridge
H 70%D 19%A 11%
11.30X4.8526.80
xG3.3GG59%
1Redcar Athletic to win70% · @1.30
Curzon Ashton
Ilkeston Town
H 69%D 18%A 13%
11.34X4.5026.50
xG3.0GG59%
1Curzon Ashton to win69% · @1.34
Bury
Cleethorpes Town
H 59%D 20%A 21%
11.85X4.0023.10
xG3.1GG64%
1Bury to win59% · @1.85
Quorn
Stockton Town
H 43%D 20%A 37%
12.15X3.5522.66
xG3.3GG65%
1Quorn to win43% · @2.15
Rylands
Guiseley AFC
H 38%D 21%A 41%
12.40X3.4622.40
xG3.1GG65%
2Guiseley AFC to win41% · @2.40
Workington
Alfreton Town
H 40%D 21%A 39%
12.32X3.5222.46
xG3.0GG66%
1Workington to win40% · @2.32
England National League South2 matches
Salisbury
Braintree
H 67%D 22%A 11%
11.36X4.7526.50
xG3.3GG60%
1Salisbury to win67% · @1.36
Hemel Hempstead Town
Torquay
H 25%D 19%A 56%
13.40X3.8021.85
xG2.8GG59%
2Torquay to win56% · @1.85
England Non League Premier Isthmian5 matches
Whitehawk
Welling United
H 13%D 20%A 66%
15.55X4.3021.41
xG3.2GG58%
2Welling United to win66% · @1.41
Eastbourne Borough
Dulwich Hamlet
H 65%D 22%A 13%
11.60X3.8824.20
xG3.1GG60%
1Eastbourne Borough to win65% · @1.60
Enfield Town
Lewes
H 61%D 18%A 20%
11.47X4.2525.17
xG3.4GG63%
1Enfield Town to win61% · @1.47
Cray Wanderers
Three Bridges
H 60%D 20%A 20%
11.68X3.9023.70
xG3.7GG66%
1Cray Wanderers to win60% · @1.68
Chatham Town
Leatherhead
H 44%D 20%A 36%
12.00X3.6023.00
xG3.4GG65%
1Chatham Town to win44% · @2.00
England Non League Premier Southern Central8 matches
Bury Town
Bishop's Stortford
H 65%D 18%A 17%
11.52X4.3525.00
xG3.2GG60%
1Bury Town to win65% · @1.52
Leamington
Bromsgrove Sporting
H 19%D 17%A 64%
13.60X3.6621.75
xG3.1GG60%
2Bromsgrove Sporting to win64% · @1.75
Leiston
Real Bedford
H 17%D 23%A 60%
13.94X3.9221.63
xG3.5GG67%
2Real Bedford to win60% · @1.63
Worcester City
Racing Club Warwick
H 45%D 21%A 34%
12.02X3.4422.98
xG2.8GG62%
1Worcester City to win45% · @2.02
Stratford Town
Banbury United
H 44%D 21%A 34%
12.10X3.3522.88
xG3.0GG62%
1Stratford Town to win44% · @2.10
Anstey Nomads
Kettering Town
H 43%D 20%A 37%
12.05X3.6222.79
xG3.2GG66%
1Anstey Nomads to win43% · @2.05
Rushall Olympic
Halesowen Town
H 41%D 20%A 39%
12.09X3.7422.66
xG3.3GG68%
1Rushall Olympic to win41% · @2.09
Stourbridge
Alvechurch
H 40%D 21%A 39%
12.57X3.5522.40
xG2.8GG60%
1Stourbridge to win40% · @2.57
England National League North3 matches
Darlington 1883
Oxford City
H 23%D 21%A 55%
13.10X3.6021.95
xG3.0GG61%
2Oxford City to win55% · @1.95
Morecambe
Hereford
H 47%D 21%A 32%
12.15X3.5022.80
xG2.7GG59%
1Morecambe to win47% · @2.15
Scarborough Athletic
Marine
H 44%D 21%A 35%
12.10X3.5023.00
xG2.8GG59%
1Scarborough Athletic to win44% · @2.10
Colombia Primera B1 match
Envigado
Popayan
H 55%D 18%A 27%
11.50X3.4526.15
xG2.4GG43%
1Envigado to win55% · @1.50
How we pick a winner
We start from a statistical model of both teams – recent form, home and away records, goals scored and conceded – and blend it with what the betting market says, because the market is quick to react to team news. The result with the highest combined chance becomes the tip.
The percentage matters more than the tip itself: a 75% favourite and a 45% favourite are very different bets.
Every tip on this page is checked against the final score. You can see how the top picks have done over the last 30 days on our record page – the losing days included.
Using match winner tips well
- Under 3.5 is a steady leg for slips; over 3.5 is a higher-risk, higher-price bet.
- Big favourites at home can push a game over 3.5 on their own – check the expected goals.
How to read this page
Each row shows the kick-off time in your own time zone, the two teams, the chance of a home win, draw and away win, the bookmaker prices and the expected goals. On the right is our match winner tip with the chance we give it – the longer and greener the bar, the stronger the pick. Tap any match to open every other market for that game.
Use the tabs to see tomorrow's match winner tips as soon as the matches are priced, or yesterday's results to see how the picks did. Predictions are statistical estimates for adults (18+), never a promise of a result – please read our responsible gambling guide.
Questions & answers
What does 1X2 mean?
1 is a home win, X a draw and 2 an away win – after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties don't count.
Why is the draw rarely the tip?
A draw is seldom the single most likely result. We only tip X when the two sides are very close.
What does the percentage mean?
How often we expect the tip to win in the long run. 70% means about seven times in ten.
