Yesterday · Sunday 8 November
Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions
Under 3.5 wins with three goals or fewer – the most common outcome in football. Over 3.5 is only tipped in genuinely high-scoring games.
Last 30 days: 81% of our top O/U 3.5 picks won (243 of 300). Full record
750matches
511won
237lost
68%hit rate
2to play
Top picks 10
Yesterday's ten strongest O/U 3.5 picks and how they finished.
FT
Mes Kerman
Naft Masjed Soleyman
21
H 34%D 25%A 41%
12.59X2.7522.67
xG1.9GG46%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals87%
FT
Cittadella Vis Modena
Pavia
21
H 45%D 23%A 31%
12.12X3.0523.20
xG2.0GG50%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals85%
FT
Fard Alborz
Be'sat Kermanshah
41
H 67%D 23%A 11%
11.44X3.6027.17
xG2.1GG45%
U3.5 ✗Under 3.5 goals85%
FT
San Lorenzo
Platense
02
H 39%D 26%A 35%
12.67X2.8523.05
xG2.0GG50%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals84% · @1.16
FT
Barracas Central
Racing Club
20
H 40%D 25%A 35%
12.45X2.8823.00
xG2.1GG49%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals84% · @1.14
FT
Cultural Leonesa
Ponferradina
11
H 46%D 23%A 31%
12.05X3.0023.40
xG1.9GG49%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals83% · @1.17
FT
Santa Clara
GIL Vicente
12
H 45%D 24%A 30%
12.40X3.1023.20
xG2.0GG51%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals83% · @1.17
FT
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
21
H 59%D 24%A 17%
11.75X3.4025.40
xG2.0GG45%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals83% · @1.17
FT
Hearts of Oak
Heart of Lions
30
H 64%D 20%A 16%
11.50X3.5026.25
xG2.1GG49%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals83%
FT
Bechem United
Samartex
21
H 57%D 27%A 16%
11.85X3.0024.10
xG2.2GG49%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals83%
All results 100
FT
Mes KermanNaft Masjed Soleyman
21
H 34%D 25%A 41%
12.59X2.7522.67
xG1.9GG46%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals87%
FT
Cittadella Vis ModenaPavia
21
H 45%D 23%A 31%
12.12X3.0523.20
xG2.0GG50%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals85%
FT
Fard AlborzBe'sat Kermanshah
41
H 67%D 23%A 11%
11.44X3.6027.17
xG2.1GG45%
U3.5 ✗Under 3.5 goals85%
FT
San LorenzoPlatense
02
H 39%D 26%A 35%
12.67X2.8523.05
xG2.0GG50%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals84% · @1.16
FT
Barracas CentralRacing Club
20
H 40%D 25%A 35%
12.45X2.8823.00
xG2.1GG49%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals84% · @1.14
FT
Cultural LeonesaPonferradina
11
H 46%D 23%A 31%
12.05X3.0023.40
xG1.9GG49%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals83% · @1.17
FT
Santa ClaraGIL Vicente
12
H 45%D 24%A 30%
12.40X3.1023.20
xG2.0GG51%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals83% · @1.17
FT
IndependienteDeportivo Riestra
21
H 59%D 24%A 17%
11.75X3.4025.40
xG2.0GG45%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals83% · @1.17
FT
Hearts of OakHeart of Lions
30
H 64%D 20%A 16%
11.50X3.5026.25
xG2.1GG49%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals83%
FT
Bechem UnitedSamartex
21
H 57%D 27%A 16%
11.85X3.0024.10
xG2.2GG49%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals83%
FT
Khenchela
Témouchent
11
H 59%D 24%A 17%
11.61X3.2225.35
xG2.0GG49%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals83% · @1.14
FT
Instituto Cordoba
Newells Old Boys
22
H 64%D 24%A 12%
11.85X3.2024.75
xG2.2GG50%
U3.5 ✗Under 3.5 goals83% · @1.14
FT
Fiorenzuola
Club Milano
12
H 39%D 24%A 37%
12.35X2.9522.90
xG2.2GG51%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals83%
FT
Bassano Virtus
Calvi Noale
11
H 40%D 23%A 37%
12.15X3.0523.15
xG2.2GG55%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals83%
FT
El Geish
Asyut Petrol
01
H 62%D 23%A 15%
11.95X3.1023.60
xG2.1GG46%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals82% · @1.14
FT
Municipal Salamanca
Colchagua
23
H 44%D 23%A 33%
12.07X3.0623.34
xG2.0GG50%
U3.5 ✗Under 3.5 goals82% · @1.14
FT
Niroye Zamini
Shahin Bandar Ameri
12
H 28%D 23%A 48%
13.00X3.0422.23
xG2.2GG50%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals82%
FT
Argentinos JRS
Huracan
02
H 61%D 22%A 17%
11.93X3.2024.55
xG2.1GG47%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals82% · @1.19
FT
Villalbés
Somozas
12
H 39%D 26%A 35%
12.60X2.7522.85
xG2.1GG49%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals82% · @1.13
FT
CR Khemis Zemamra
Widad Témara
11
H 37%D 25%A 38%
12.25X2.8823.20
xG2.2GG53%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals82% · @1.14
FT
FC Luanda
São Salvador
10
H 38%D 23%A 39%
12.14X3.0223.10
xG2.1GG51%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals82% · @1.13
FT
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
20
H 38%D 27%A 35%
12.35X2.6223.60
xG2.2GG51%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals82% · @1.14
FT
Altavilla
Este
12
H 37%D 27%A 37%
12.50X2.5723.10
xG2.2GG55%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals82%
FT
Termoli Calcio
Ancona
11
H 30%D 23%A 47%
13.50X3.1021.98
xG2.2GG54%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals82%
FT
Guarda
Castro Daire
02
H 36%D 23%A 41%
12.31X2.9922.82
xG2.0GG53%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals81% · @1.16
FT
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Asteras Tripolis II
12
H 38%D 24%A 38%
12.23X2.9423.00
xG2.2GG52%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals81% · @1.13
FT
Tigre
Sarmiento Junin
10
H 60%D 27%A 13%
11.75X3.2024.75
xG2.3GG49%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals81% · @1.17
FT
Talleres Cordoba
Estudiantes L.P.
11
H 42%D 24%A 34%
12.35X3.1023.20
xG2.2GG54%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals81% · @1.18
FT
Raja Casablanca
Ittihad Tanger
20
H 59%D 26%A 15%
11.65X3.2025.00
xG2.2GG49%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals80% · @1.20
FT
Mallorca II
Yeclano
21
H 39%D 24%A 37%
12.63X2.9022.54
xG2.2GG53%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals80% · @1.15
FT
Anagennisi Karditsas
Marko
11
H 12%D 23%A 65%
15.75X3.6021.62
xG2.3GG48%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals80%
FT
Chemal
AC Douane
21
H 34%D 23%A 43%
12.90X2.9722.27
xG2.3GG54%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals80% · @1.13
FT
Mamelodi Sundowns
USM Alger
13
H 60%D 23%A 17%
11.57X3.3025.50
xG2.3GG50%
U3.5 ✗Under 3.5 goals80% · @1.17
FT
JS Saoura
CS Constantine
10
H 59%D 26%A 15%
11.90X3.0023.90
xG2.3GG47%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals80% · @1.17
FT
Melfi
Brindisi
21
H 26%D 23%A 51%
13.40X3.1522.00
xG2.3GG46%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals80%
FT
Banfield
Atletico Tucuman
22
H 41%D 24%A 35%
12.50X3.1523.00
xG2.3GG53%
U3.5 ✗Under 3.5 goals79% · @1.23
FT
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Lanus
11
H 15%D 25%A 60%
15.25X3.5021.73
xG2.3GG53%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals79% · @1.22
FT
GOR Mahia
Nairobi United
11
H 57%D 22%A 21%
11.79X3.0524.25
xG2.4GG54%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals77% · @1.17
FT
Murang'a SEAL
Ulinzi Stars
22
H 47%D 24%A 29%
12.06X2.8823.46
xG2.5GG55%
U3.5 ✗Under 3.5 goals77% · @1.14
FT
Gimnasia M.
Independ. Rivadavia
11
H 38%D 24%A 38%
12.77X3.1522.70
xG2.4GG52%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals77% · @1.25
FT
Warri Wolves
Katsina United
11
H 63%D 25%A 12%
11.55X3.3425.65
xG2.3GG51%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals76% · @1.26
FT
Aldosivi
River Plate
02
H 9%D 23%A 68%
17.50X3.7521.44
xG2.4GG51%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals76% · @1.28
FT
Le Havre
Lorient
02
H 35%D 23%A 43%
13.00X3.3022.40
xG2.5GG59%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals76% · @1.28
FT
Abia Warriors
Doma United
22
H 65%D 22%A 13%
11.52X3.4026.20
xG2.5GG51%
U3.5 ✗Under 3.5 goals75% · @1.21
FT
Ranchers Bees
Enyimba
10
H 45%D 23%A 32%
12.02X2.9923.58
xG2.5GG51%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals75% · @1.22
FT
Union Santa Fe
Velez Sarsfield
20
H 38%D 25%A 38%
12.55X3.0023.00
xG2.5GG55%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals75% · @1.25
FT
Nasarawa United
Plateau United
31
H 62%D 22%A 16%
11.43X3.7526.40
xG2.5GG53%
U3.5 ✗Under 3.5 goals75% · @1.23
FT
Genoa
AC Milan
12
H 15%D 24%A 61%
13.90X3.4021.95
xG2.6GG55%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals75% · @1.25
FT
Rizespor
Erzurumspor FK
21
H 61%D 20%A 19%
11.80X3.5024.10
xG2.6GG58%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals72% · @1.33
FT
Celta Vigo
Levante
00
H 58%D 24%A 18%
11.80X3.6024.50
xG2.6GG57%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals72% · @1.36
FT
Vitória SC
FC Porto
12
H 11%D 21%A 68%
15.75X4.2021.53
xG2.6GG54%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals71% · @1.36
FT
Rosario Central
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
20
H 69%D 19%A 12%
11.22X5.25215.00
xG2.5GG49%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals71% · @1.40
FT
Villarreal
Getafe
20
H 67%D 22%A 11%
11.53X4.1026.25
xG2.6GG52%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals71% · @1.40
FT
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y Justicia
10
H 69%D 23%A 8%
11.38X4.3329.50
xG2.6GG50%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals70% · @1.40
FT
Stade Brestois 29
Lyon
20
H 36%D 22%A 42%
12.75X3.5022.50
xG2.8GG60%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals69% · @1.40
FT
Wimborne Town
Crawley Town
20
H 19%D 19%A 62%
15.25X4.3321.55
xG2.5GG55%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals69% · @1.50
FT
Le Mans
Monaco
11
H 16%D 21%A 63%
15.25X3.8021.67
xG2.8GG55%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals69% · @1.40
FT
Gent
Kortrijk
10
H 66%D 23%A 11%
11.52X4.1025.75
xG2.7GG54%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals68% · @1.39
FT
Rio Ave
SC Braga
01
H 9%D 22%A 69%
16.50X4.0021.50
xG2.8GG47%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals68% · @1.40
FT
Fiorentina
Juventus
22
H 34%D 23%A 43%
13.30X3.3022.20
xG2.9GG63%
U3.5 ✗Under 3.5 goals67% · @1.40
FT
Angers
Nice
02
H 28%D 21%A 51%
13.50X3.6022.05
xG2.9GG59%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals67% · @1.44
FT
Sunderland
Chelsea
10
H 22%D 21%A 57%
13.75X3.7521.91
xG3.0GG60%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals66% · @1.40
FT
Alanyaspor
Trabzonspor
02
H 12%D 21%A 67%
15.25X4.0521.57
xG2.9GG56%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals66% · @1.39
FT
Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk
25
H 58%D 23%A 19%
11.75X4.1024.00
xG2.9GG58%
U3.5 ✗Under 3.5 goals66% · @1.44
FT
FC Dallas
Colorado Rapids
31
H 57%D 23%A 20%
11.91X3.7023.80
xG3.0GG59%
U3.5 ✗Under 3.5 goals65% · @1.44
FT
Ipswich
Bournemouth
12
H 14%D 24%A 62%
13.75X3.7021.91
xG3.1GG58%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals64% · @1.44
FT
Houston Dynamo
St. Louis City
01
H 41%D 23%A 36%
12.62X3.3022.62
xG3.0GG63%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals64% · @1.50
FT
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles FC
21
H 56%D 22%A 21%
11.95X3.7023.60
xG2.9GG63%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals64% · @1.53
FT
Rennes
Lille
12
H 39%D 22%A 38%
12.40X3.4022.88
xG3.0GG60%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals64% · @1.50
FT
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
20
H 64%D 19%A 18%
11.44X4.5027.00
xG3.2GG58%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals63% · @1.44
FT
Oldham
Sheffield Wednesday
21
H 29%D 23%A 49%
13.25X3.3022.15
xG3.0GG61%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals63% · @1.50
FT
1899 Hoffenheim
FC Schalke 04
21
H 64%D 22%A 14%
11.57X4.3325.25
xG2.9GG56%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals63% · @1.62
FT
Napoli
Lazio
11
H 38%D 21%A 41%
12.25X3.7022.90
xG3.1GG65%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals62% · @1.57
FT
Brighton
Brentford
20
H 58%D 23%A 19%
11.85X4.0023.80
xG3.1GG64%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals62% · @1.57
FT
Manchester United
Aston Villa
44
H 44%D 20%A 36%
12.10X3.9023.10
xG2.9GG64%
U3.5 ✗Under 3.5 goals62% · @1.67
FT
Lens
Marseille
12
H 41%D 21%A 38%
12.25X3.6023.00
xG3.2GG64%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals61% · @1.50
FT
Elche
Real Betis
02
H 21%D 21%A 58%
13.70X3.8021.91
xG3.1GG61%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals61% · @1.62
FT
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
13
H 14%D 22%A 64%
15.25X4.3321.57
xG3.0GG59%
U3.5 ✗Under 3.5 goals60% · @1.67
FT
Union St. Gilloise
Genk
10
H 65%D 22%A 13%
11.57X3.9025.00
xG3.3GG60%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals60% · @1.53
FT
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
12
H 17%D 23%A 61%
14.50X4.0021.73
xG3.3GG63%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals59% · @1.57
FT
Inter
Como
20
H 49%D 19%A 32%
12.00X4.1023.20
xG3.2GG65%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals59% · @1.62
FT
Çorum FK
Fenerbahçe
05
H 21%D 19%A 61%
14.33X3.9021.65
xG3.3GG65%
U3.5 ✗Under 3.5 goals59% · @1.53
FT
St. Truiden
Zulte Waregem
41
H 58%D 24%A 18%
11.75X3.7523.90
xG3.3GG62%
U3.5 ✗Under 3.5 goals59% · @1.57
FT
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
10
H 63%D 24%A 13%
11.75X4.0024.20
xG3.3GG61%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals59% · @1.57
FT
Cambuur
PSV Eindhoven
25
H 17%D 19%A 64%
15.50X5.2521.45
xG4.1GG70%
O3.5 ✓Over 3.5 goals58% · @1.62
FT
Cray Wanderers
Stockport County
23
H 8%D 18%A 74%
110.00X6.2521.22
xG3.0GG47%
U3.5 ✗Under 3.5 goals58% · @1.83
FT
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
21
H 64%D 21%A 16%
11.70X4.1024.50
xG3.3GG65%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals55% · @1.80
FT
Club Brugge KV
Anderlecht
11
H 64%D 22%A 14%
11.55X4.1024.75
xG3.2GG62%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals55% · @1.83
FT
Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
31
H 61%D 22%A 17%
11.62X4.5024.75
xG3.4GG62%
U3.5 ✗Under 3.5 goals54% · @1.80
FT
Celtic
Kilmarnock
10
H 71%D 19%A 10%
11.18X7.50211.00
xG3.6GG59%
O3.5 ✗Over 3.5 goals54% · @1.62
FT
Monza
Atalanta
01
H 23%D 15%A 63%
13.60X3.8021.95
xG3.6GG64%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals54% · @1.73
FT
San Diego
Sporting Kansas City
01
H 63%D 23%A 14%
11.55X4.5025.00
xG3.7GG65%
O3.5 ✗Over 3.5 goals53% · @1.67
FT
Beşiktaş
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
30
H 74%D 19%A 8%
11.18X7.10212.00
xG3.4GG56%
U3.5 ✓Under 3.5 goals53% · @1.91
FT
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen
43
H 64%D 21%A 15%
11.48X4.7526.00
xG3.6GG62%
U3.5 ✗Under 3.5 goals52% · @1.73
FT
Twente
Ajax
22
H 57%D 18%A 24%
11.83X4.2023.75
xG3.6GG66%
U3.5 ✗Under 3.5 goals52% · @1.80
FT
Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
23
H 43%D 20%A 37%
12.45X3.8022.60
xG3.7GG68%
U3.5 ✗Under 3.5 goals52% · @1.73
FT
Estrela
Benfica
23
H 8%D 19%A 73%
111.00X6.5021.22
xG3.5GG60%
U3.5 ✗Under 3.5 goals52% · @1.83
FT
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
12
H 35%D 18%A 47%
13.10X4.2022.00
xG3.8GG73%
O3.5 ✗Over 3.5 goals51% · @1.91
FT
Heerenveen
Feyenoord
53
H 16%D 20%A 65%
14.50X4.2021.70
xG3.5GG64%
U3.5 ✗Under 3.5 goals51% · @1.83
FT
Austin
Portland Timbers
02
H 12%D 22%A 66%
14.50X4.2021.67
xG3.6GG67%
O3.5 ✗Over 3.5 goals51% · @1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Most matches finish with three goals or fewer, so under 3.5 usually carries a high chance and a short price.
Every tip on this page is checked against the final score. You can see how the top picks have done over the last 30 days on our record page – the losing days included.
How to read this page
Each row shows the kick-off time in your own time zone, the two teams, the chance of a home win, draw and away win, the bookmaker prices and the expected goals. On the right is our over/under 3.5 goals tip with the chance we give it – the longer and greener the bar, the stronger the pick. Tap any match to open every other market for that game.
Use the tabs to see tomorrow's over/under 3.5 goals tips as soon as the matches are priced, or yesterday's results to see how the picks did. Predictions are statistical estimates for adults (18+), never a promise of a result – please read our responsible gambling guide.
Questions & answers
When does under 3.5 lose?
With four goals or more, e.g. 3–1 or 2–2.
