Yesterday · Sunday 8 November

Banker of the day

One match, one pick – the selection our model trusts most today, with a fair price and every number behind it.

No banker was published for this day.

What makes a good banker

A banker should be the safest selection of the day that is still worth backing. Very short prices – a 1.05 favourite – win often but pay so little that one upset wipes out weeks of profit. Very long prices are not bankers at all. That is why ours sits between 1.35 and 1.85, and it is always a home win, an away win, over 2.5 or under 2.5 goals, where a strong chance and a fair return meet.

We do not limit the banker to the match result. If a favourite looks likely to win but the draw is a real risk, double chance may be the better pick; if two attacking teams meet, over 1.5 goals can be the safest call on the card. The market is chosen to suit the match.

How to use the banker sensibly

Where the numbers come from

Each match is rated by our statistical model – recent form, home and away records, goals scored and conceded – and blended with the bookmakers' prices, which react quickly to team news. From that we work out every market for the match, so the banker, the likely score and the goals numbers above always tell the same story. Betting is for adults (18+) only; please read our responsible gambling page.

Questions & answers

What is a banker?

A banker is the one pick you trust most on a given day – the selection people often build a slip around. Ours is a single match: the pick our model rates highest, at a price that still pays.

How is the banker chosen?

The banker is always one of four picks: home win, away win, over 2.5 goals or under 2.5 goals. From every match still to play we take the strongest of these with a bookmaker price between 1.35 and 1.85 – and a match from a major league comes first.

When is it published and can it change?

It is chosen once the day's odds are in, usually in the morning (West Africa Time). It can still be refreshed until kick-off; from kick-off it is frozen and graded on the final score.

Does the banker always win?

No. A 75% pick still loses about one time in four, and losing runs happen. That is why we publish every result below – wins and losses – instead of only the good days.